Modelling Australian land use competition and ecosystem services with food price feedbacks at high spatial resolution

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Connor, Jeff; Bryan, Brett; Nolan, Martin; Stock, Florian; Gao, Lei; Dunstall, Simon; Graham, Paul ORCID ID icon; Ernst, Andreas; Newth, David; Grundy, Mike; Hatfield-Dodds, Steve


2015-04-09


Journal Article


Environmental Modelling & Software


69


141-154


Increasingly, regional studies assess spatial factors influencing land use and ecosystem service outcomes at high resolution. Continental and global scale economic land use models, in contrast, treat large land regions as homogenous to focus on food, carbon and energy price feedback effects on land use changes. This article introduces an Australian land use model including both food market partial equilibrium price feedbacks and high resolution (1 km2) representation of land use and ecosystem service productivity and profitability. We model three global climate, carbon, food, and energy with growing carbon price and biodiversity payments. Accounting for food price feedbacks moderately reduces land use change from food to carbon and biodiversity provision. The combination of food price feedback and high resolution (1 km2) spatial ecosystem service representation reveals some land use change ‘hotspots” of intensive land use response to price feedbacks that wouldn’t be evident with lower spatial resolution modelling.


Elsevier


land use change, economics, partial equilibrium, price feedback, high spatial resolution, markets


Environment and Resource Economics


https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.03.015


EP1312190


Journal article - Refereed


English


Connor, Jeff; Bryan, Brett; Nolan, Martin; Stock, Florian; Gao, Lei; Dunstall, Simon; Graham, Paul; Ernst, Andreas; Newth, David; Grundy, Mike; Hatfield-Dodds, Steve. Modelling Australian land use competition and ecosystem services with food price feedbacks at high spatial resolution. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2015; 69:141-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.03.015



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