Kecamatan Janapria Case Study Scenario Planning Workshop Report, 25-26 January 2012, Gran Legi Hotel, Mataram, Lombok

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Butler, James; Handayani, Tarningsih; Habibi, Putrawan; Skewes, Tim; Kisman, Putranta; Bohensky, Erin



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The islands of Eastern Indonesia have some of the highest levels of poverty and food insecurity in the country. Livelihoods are primarily rural and dependent on ecosystem goods and services provided by terrestrial and marine habitats, and are highly sensitive to climate change. Currently no method exists to assess the vulnerability of livelihoods in these islands to climate or other drivers of change such as population growth, or to design 'no regrets' adaptation strategies which lead to benefits under any future scenarios. This project aims to meet this need by developing an approach in the islands of Lombok and Sumbawa, Nusa Tenggara Barat (NTB) Province. A research partnership has been established between the AusAID-CSIRO Research for Development Alliance, University of Mataram (UNRAM), BMKG (Indonesian Meteorological, Climatological and Geophysical Board), the Research Institute for Agricultural Technology (BPTP) and the NTB Government's Climate Change Task Force. In July 2010 - June 2013 the project aims to: 1. Develop and test a participatory research method which can identify vulnerable rural livelihoods and design appropriate 'no regrets' adaptation strategies; 2. Deliver adaptation strategies for case studies of vulnerable livelihoods in NTB and integrate them into development planning; 3. Build the capacity of NTB government, NGOs, research institutions and vulnerable rural communities to adapt to future climate change and uncertainty. The project uses participatory scenario planning workshops with stakeholders from the national, provincial, district, sub-district (kecamatan) and village (desa) levels. By combining stakeholders' knowledge of livelihoods' drivers of change, important ecosystem goods and services, and communities' adaptive capacity, the process is generating 'no regrets' adaptation strategies for vulnerable rural livelihoods in NTB. On 31st May - 2nd June the first workshop was held at the provincial level with Indonesian and NTB Government, NGO and technical stakeholders. Six sub-districts were selected as case studies for Activity 4 Community scenario planning in three of the NTB livelihood typologies: - Typology 1 Fishing: Sape (Bima District) and Jerowaru (East Lombok District) - Typology 7 Diverse cropping and coastal activity: Bayan and Pemanang (North Lombok District) - Typology 5 Rice and tobacco: Janapria (Central Lombok District) and Terara (East Lombok District) This report summarises the results for the Janapria scenario planning workshop. The workshop was held on 25th - 26th January 2012 at the Gran Legi Hotel, Mataram, Lombok. A Tim Kolaboratif of 18 scientists from UNRAM, CSIRO, BMKG, BPTP and the NTB Climate Change Task Force contributed downscaled climate and population projections and other scientific information, which was integrated with the knowledge and perceptions of 32 local stakeholders. The workshop was structured into six sessions, and each addressed a specific question. The results of each session were: Session 1: What are the drivers of change for rural livelihoods in Janapria? Working groups listed 56 current drivers of change. These were grouped into themes, and then participants voted on the two most important themes. Development of human resources and climate change received the most votes. Session 2: What are the desired and possible futures for Janapria livelihoods? Participants agreed on the following desired future vision for Janapria rural livelihoods in 2090: "the realisation of physical and spiritual prosperity of Janapria society." A matrix of four possible future scenarios was created from better or worse extremes of human resources development and climate change. Participants created narratives and drew pictures for each scenario. These ranged from the 'Best Case' Qualified Janapria (less extreme climate change, improved human resources development), to intermediate Resilient Agriculture and Limited Human Resources, t...


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Butler, James; Handayani, Tarningsih; Habibi, Putrawan; Skewes, Tim; Kisman, Putranta; Bohensky, Erin. Kecamatan Janapria Case Study Scenario Planning Workshop Report, 25-26 January 2012, Gran Legi Hotel, Mataram, Lombok. CSIRO; 2013. csiro:EP1210275.

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