Pipeline Failure Data Analytics and Prediction

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Liang, Bin; Weeraddana, Dilusha; Li, Zhidong; Lu, Shiyang; Fan, Xuhui; Wang, Yang; Chen, Fang; Serai, Gagneet; Beirne, Ivan; Hayward, Mitchell


2018-04-09


Conference Material


Ozwater'18, Brisbane, 08/05/2018


8


A novel pipeline failure prediction and risk distribution model is developed using machine learning frameworks. In this application, the model is used to discover the underlying drivers of past water main breaks in a distribution network and then utilized to predict the probability of future water main breaks in the same network. Failure probability calculations are combined with existing asset criticality data to produce a risk distribution. Failure probability and risk to customers are calculated for all water main assets. Utilities can use the high resolution information to develop targeted break mitigation and asset renewal strategies. Cost effective break mitigation reduces negative customer impact and cost to serve.


Ozwater


Information and Computing Sciences not elsewhere classified


EP181186


Oral Presentation – Formal


English


Liang, Bin; Weeraddana, Dilusha; Li, Zhidong; Lu, Shiyang; Fan, Xuhui; Wang, Yang; Chen, Fang; Serai, Gagneet; Beirne, Ivan; Hayward, Mitchell. Pipeline Failure Data Analytics and Prediction. In: Ozwater'18; 08/05/2018; Brisbane. Ozwater; 2018. 8. http://hdl.handle.net/102.100.100/87117?index=1



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